The 49-Day Problem
Two Fundamentally Different Approaches Copy everything late vs. understand everything first
Blind Automation
Copy every congressional trade into your brokerage account automatically. No filtering, no scoring, no analysis. Every trade from every politician gets copied — including the 38% of politicians who historically lose money on their trades.
Intelligence First
Score every trade across 7 layers. Identify which politicians have real edge (A+ tier: 72.7% win rate). Predict trades before the filing using committee schedules, bill correlations, and recurring patterns. Then decide with full context.
Feature Comparison Automation vs. intelligence — what each platform actually provides
| Feature | GovGreed | Autopilot |
|---|---|---|
| ApproachHow each platform handles congressional trades | Analyze & predict | Copy blindly |
| Signal scoringMulti-layer intelligence on every trade | ✓ 7 layers, 2,790 scored | — No scoring |
| Trade predictionsForecasting trades before they're filed | ✓ 819 active, 76 politicians | — |
| Automatic trade executionConnects to brokerage, executes trades | — Intelligence only | ✓ Auto-executes |
| Bill-trade correlationsWhy trades happen (committee activity, legislation) | ✓ 256,112 correlations | — |
| Politician quality filteringSeparating skilled traders from poor ones | ✓ 251 profiles, tiered S–F | — Copies all equally |
| Herd detection3+ politicians converging on same ticker | ✓ 31 active herds | — |
| Campaign & lobbying cross-referenceFollow-the-money connections | ✓ 565 + 2,101 patterns | — |
| AI chatbotNatural language queries against database | ✓ Claude-powered | — |
| REST APIProgrammatic access for custom strategies | ✓ JSON endpoints | — App only |
| Mobile appNative iOS/Android experience | — Web-based | ✓ Native app |
| Social followingCommunity size and traction | Growing | ✓ 3.5M+ followers |
| Pricing | Free access | $29/quarter per portfolio |
Why Intelligence Beats Blind Copy-Trading The data behind the argument
Not All Politicians Are Good Traders
GovGreed's politician profiles reveal that quality varies dramatically. S-tier politicians score 90+ with proven track records. F-tier politicians consistently underperform the market. Autopilot copies all of them equally — the winners and the losers alike.
Predictions Beat Delayed Copies
GovGreed's 4 prediction engines identify which politicians are likely to trade which sectors before the filing. 819 active predictions across 76 politicians. Instead of waiting 49 days for a disclosure, pattern analysis and committee markup schedules provide forward-looking intelligence.
The "Why" Changes Everything
A senator buying MSFT is data. A senator on the Armed Services Committee buying MSFT two weeks before a defense markup, after receiving $50K from defense lobbyists, while 3 other committee members do the same — that's a 7-layer signal. Context determines whether a trade is noise or conviction.
Backtested Signal Quality
According to GovGreed's backtest analysis, A+ tier signals (score 60+) have a 72.7% win rate with an average +10.7% 30-day return. Compare that to blindly copying all congressional trades, which includes the low-quality ones that dilute returns.
What Autopilot does well
Autopilot has achieved something genuinely impressive: $750M-1.1B in assets under management and approximately 180,000 users. With 3.5 million social media followers, they've built the largest community around congressional copy-trading. The app is well-designed, frictionless, and solves the execution problem cleanly — connect your brokerage, pick which politicians to copy, and forget about it.
For users who want zero-effort exposure to congressional trading patterns without thinking about bill correlations or signal scoring, Autopilot delivers exactly that. The simplicity is the product.
They've also validated the core thesis: enough people believe congressional trading data has alpha that nearly a billion dollars is now invested on that premise. That market validation benefits everyone in this space, including GovGreed.
The disclosure delay problem
The STOCK Act gives members of Congress up to 45 days to disclose trades. According to GovGreed's analysis of 189,595 trades, the actual average is 44.9 days. Worse, 12.5% of all trades (23,426 filings) exceed even the 45-day legal deadline. Thomas Suozzi filed 86.4% of his trades late with an average gap of 396 days.
This means when Autopilot executes a copy-trade, the stock has typically had 28-49 days (median to average) to react to whatever information the politician was trading on. The informational edge — which is the entire thesis for why congressional trades have alpha — has largely expired by the time you get in.
GovGreed's prediction engines address this directly. By analyzing committee markup schedules, recurring trading patterns, and 256,112 historical bill-trade correlations, the platform generates predictions about future trades before the disclosure, not after.
When Autopilot is the right choice
- You want true set-and-forget: Connect brokerage, pick politicians, done. No analysis required. Autopilot handles execution automatically.
- You prefer mobile: Autopilot is a native mobile app. GovGreed is web-based. If you want to manage everything from your phone, Autopilot has the better experience.
- You trust the broad thesis: If you believe congressional trading as a whole generates alpha (regardless of which politician or why), copying everything is the simplest approach.
- You value community: With 3.5M followers, Autopilot has a larger community for discussion and shared conviction.
When GovGreed is the right choice
- You want to understand why trades happen: Committee assignments, bill correlations, lobbying alignment, campaign contributions — 7 layers of context on every qualifying trade.
- You want predictions, not just copies: 819 active predictions from 4 engines. Get ahead of the disclosure instead of waiting 49 days behind it.
- You want to filter for quality: Not all politicians trade well. GovGreed's politician profiles let you focus on S and A+ tier traders — the ones with backtested 72.7% win rates — instead of copying everyone.
- You're building your own strategy: GovGreed's REST API provides the intelligence layer. You bring the execution — Alpaca, Interactive Brokers, or whatever platform you prefer.
- Budget matters: GovGreed dashboard and AI chatbot are free. Autopilot charges $29/quarter per portfolio ($116/year per portfolio).
Using both together
The platforms aren't mutually exclusive. A practical approach: use GovGreed to identify which politicians consistently generate alpha (S and A+ tier quality scores), then configure Autopilot to copy only those specific politicians. GovGreed provides the intelligence filter; Autopilot provides the execution convenience. This addresses the quality problem even if the timing problem remains.
Pricing Comparison
- ✓ 7-layer signal scoring (2,790 signals)
- ✓ 819 ML-generated predictions
- ✓ AI chatbot with full database access
- ✓ REST API — 30 days free for waitlist
- ✓ Politician quality profiles (251 scored)
- ✓ Bill correlations, lobbying, contributions
- ✓ Automatic trade execution
- ✓ Native mobile app (iOS/Android)
- ✓ Select which politicians to copy
- ✓ 180K user community
- — No signal scoring or predictions
- — No API, no bill analysis, no AI